Supreme Novices Hurdle from a trends perspective

(Class 1) (4yo+) (2m110y) 2m½f

The last 8 winners…
Had run between 2 and 5 times that season
Finished in the first 3 last time out
Had won at 2m or 2m1f
Had no head gear
Had won at least 50% of its hurdle starts
Had run no more than five times over hurdles 

7 of the last 8 winners…
Were NOT favourite for the race
Were Irish or GB bred
Finished in the first 2 last time out
Had a pre race RPR of 137+
Were favourite last time out and no bigger than 9/4

6 of the last 8 winners…              
  Won last time out
Were officially rated 137+

More at

Ante-Post Shortlist

Cinders And Ashes, Colour Squadron, Tetlami and Captain Conan

Cinders And Ashes – 5th in last year’s bumper, scores well on the early trends, hard to fancy.
Colour Squadron – Can only improve on his short head defeat on Saturday.
Tetlami – Nicky Henderson kept him away from the Tolworth, Trainer thinks he’s a two miler.
Captain Conan – Surprised connections winning the Tolworth, entered in this and the Neptune.

Guest post by Tony McCormick of You can like Tony’s Facebook Page at and follow him on Twitter at