Here’s the St Leger Day preview and tips from Will Kedjanyi. For more from Will plus our profitable Plays (last 2 Saturday Plays have won) and Lays, join our Community. JP
A monsoon of rain is hitting Doncaster this morning and that could change the equation significantly in the Ladbrokes St Leger (3.45). Idaho has heavy ground form in the shape of his second to none other than Harzand earlier in the season. He was supreme in the Great Voltigeur when he beat stablemate and our each/way tip Housesofparliament (Harrison was fourth) and is the one to beat in no uncertain terms if you can stomach the price. Muntaahaa is going to be thereabouts after a smart Chester win to prepare for this and his chances are obvious but one that seems to have been ignored is Sword Fighter.
A revelation in the Queen’s Vase when front running his rivals into the ground (Tartan Spartan seventh) from the front and stepped into open company he did well to finish as close as fifth in the Goodwood Cup, having chased what was a hot pace set by Big Orange early on. He faded only in the final furlong so this step back in trip is ideal and he is the one with the most potential to contract in price to boot. Harbour Law has been beaten by two of the Ballydoyle raiders and whilst Ventura Storm was impressive at Deauville he was found a good position and he’ll need to improve on that once again to make an impression here. Ormito was behind him two starts ago but has been crying out for this trip.
Looking at the earlier Champagne Stakes (2.00), Rivet was very impressive in the Convivial Stakes but it remains to be seen how he handles the rain coming down and in any case he probably still has to improve to get to the standard that Thunder Snow sets and Godolphin’s first string can take the beating. An impressive maiden, he was on the wrong side when sixth in the Coventry on some of the softest ground of the week and then was a fine second in the Vintage Stakes. The rain hopefully won’t bother him, or at least less than others, and maybe he can still improve. Tommy Taylor, fourth in the Acomb, has a debut second on heavy and must be respected along with Majeste, himself highly rated, as well as D’Bai, for the yard of Charlie Appleby who have won this three times in the last five years. Apparently he is waiting for cut to make his mark but his form has been boosted plenty.
For more from Will plus our profitable Plays (last 2 Saturday Plays have won) and Lays, join our Community. JP
Advice:
1 pt each/way Sword Fighter, 3.45 Doncaster (12/1 general)
1 pt win Thunder Snow, 2.00 Doncaster (11/4 general)
Already advised to Community Members:
1 pt each/way Housesofparliament (14/1 general)
1 pt each/way Red Verdon (11/1 general) non-runner
